BMW X3 Forum
BMW X3 Forum
Welcome to the ultimate BMW X3 community.
BMW Garage BMW Meets Register Today's Posts
Post Reply
 
Thread Tools Search this Thread
      07-16-2022, 10:00 PM   #1
GFK007
Captain
376
Rep
786
Posts

Drives: 2014 m235i
Join Date: Jan 2011
Location: Westchester, NY

iTrader: (0)

Lease deals in a crazy market

Hi guys,

Curious - what do you all make of the current leasing market? My F97 had a 79k msrp, and I received a 12.5% discount

36/12k with ~5k out of pocket at signing, I am paying ~700. Same car today is ~1,100 per my broker.

Seems absolutely insane (even considering the supply dynamic that exists). Those of you with leases rolling in the next few months, what are you planning on doing?

A family member just got quoted $700 for an X3 30i with $5k due at signing!
__________________
MG on CR M235i, mods to come...

(gone but not forgotten) 2011 e90 M Sport - M-Tech Carbon Diffuser, OEM Carbon Trunk Spoiler, 20% tint, black reflectors, black OEM grille, LUX white Angel Eyes.
Appreciate 1
      07-16-2022, 10:10 PM   #2
new2the3
Colonel
new2the3's Avatar
United_States
382
Rep
2,067
Posts

Drives: 2020 X3M Competition
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: San Diego

iTrader: (0)

Sounds like the best options are to buy out your current lease or purchase instead of lease your next car. The current quote sounds about right since you're paying the msrp and higher money factor.
__________________
2020 X3MC
2009 135i: AW/CR Aluminum Trim, 6 speed, M-Sport, Premium, Heated Seats, Ipod, BMW Performance Pedals, BMW Performance SSK, BMW Performance Exhaust, BMW Performance Grills E93 M3 FSB
Appreciate 0
      07-16-2022, 10:21 PM   #3
Lifted
Private
Lifted's Avatar
United_States
56
Rep
68
Posts

Drives: 22 X3MC
Join Date: Feb 2022
Location: Houston

iTrader: (0)

Bought out my old lease, sold it and rolled surplus from sale into down payment on purchase. In this market it made more sense for me to own outright
Appreciate 1
      07-16-2022, 10:51 PM   #4
ghstm2
Private First Class
75
Rep
143
Posts

Drives: F87 M2/F97 X3M COMP
Join Date: Feb 2018
Location: Bay Area

iTrader: (0)

Quote:
Originally Posted by GFK007 View Post
Hi guys,

Curious - what do you all make of the current leasing market? My F97 had a 79k msrp, and I received a 12.5% discount

36/12k with ~5k out of pocket at signing, I am paying ~700. Same car today is ~1,100 per my broker.

Seems absolutely insane (even considering the supply dynamic that exists). Those of you with leases rolling in the next few months, what are you planning on doing?

A family member just got quoted $700 for an X3 30i with $5k due at signing!
Just bought out my lease on my 2020 X3M. Even with todays lease on a new one I would be paying more than my old lease. I have a pretty good equity on it right now so if I wanted to trade or sell for a different make of car before the factory warranty runs out then I'm still ahead. Market is pretty brutal right now if your buying or leasing. Takes great patience to look for an amazing deal
Appreciate 0
      07-16-2022, 11:17 PM   #5
GFK007
Captain
376
Rep
786
Posts

Drives: 2014 m235i
Join Date: Jan 2011
Location: Westchester, NY

iTrader: (0)

Quote:
Originally Posted by Lifted View Post
Bought out my old lease, sold it and rolled surplus from sale into down payment on purchase. In this market it made more sense for me to own outright
Thinking I'll do the same. Use the craziness to my benefit to try and end up "net neutral."

Have heard some speculate that pricing will never adjust downwards, as manufacturers will continue to drip feed supply as their profit margins are now higher (it'll be less of a volume game going forward).

G80's @ +1300! F80 was an $750-850 car two years ago!!
__________________
MG on CR M235i, mods to come...

(gone but not forgotten) 2011 e90 M Sport - M-Tech Carbon Diffuser, OEM Carbon Trunk Spoiler, 20% tint, black reflectors, black OEM grille, LUX white Angel Eyes.
Appreciate 0
      07-16-2022, 11:38 PM   #6
Lifted
Private
Lifted's Avatar
United_States
56
Rep
68
Posts

Drives: 22 X3MC
Join Date: Feb 2022
Location: Houston

iTrader: (0)

Quote:
Originally Posted by GFK007 View Post
Quote:
Originally Posted by Lifted View Post
Bought out my old lease, sold it and rolled surplus from sale into down payment on purchase. In this market it made more sense for me to own outright
Thinking I'll do the same. Use the craziness to my benefit to try and end up "net neutral."

Have heard some speculate that pricing will never adjust downwards, as manufacturers will continue to drip feed supply as their profit margins are now higher (it'll be less of a volume game going forward).

G80's @ +1300! F80 was an $750-850 car two years ago!!
The lease rate I was quoted was similar to above.. over $1100/mo. Fuck all that I'd rather just buy something I like and know I'm relatively liquid with an M car. Can keep it as long or short as I want at this point
Appreciate 1
BMV///M3418.50
      07-17-2022, 12:21 AM   #7
aX3Man
Private First Class
aX3Man's Avatar
202
Rep
134
Posts

Drives: 2022 X3MC
Join Date: Apr 2014
Location: NJ

iTrader: (0)

My wife currently has an Acura TLX and we extended the lease 6 months. We will probably extend for another 6 months after that if the market doesn't cool off. If not, we'll probably buy it out.

Since we have a little one on the way she wants a Q5 so we took a trip to Audi last weekend. We were quoted $800 a month for a 2022 Q5 with a 46k MSRP and 36/10. The residual wasn't bad, but the money factor was ridiculous.

Earlier in the year when we went to go look all Audis had 5-10k ADM and 0 Q3s/Q5s on the lot. Last weekend Q3s and Q5s were selling at MSRP and they had 41 Q5s available so I think the market is getting better.
Appreciate 1
BMV///M3418.50
      07-17-2022, 07:06 AM   #8
Klazu
Private First Class
166
Rep
189
Posts

Drives: 2021 BMW X3M Competition
Join Date: Jun 2017
Location: Vancouver, Canada

iTrader: (0)

Funny how only few months ago there was a thread of how stupid one would have to be to NOT lease due to the rates and how cheap money was. Well, that escalated quickly.
Appreciate 0
      07-17-2022, 07:57 AM   #9
dmanb2b
Banned
2130
Rep
3,368
Posts

Drives: G07, F97, F30, E90, E46, E30
Join Date: Jul 2016
Location: NY

iTrader: (5)

Quote:
Originally Posted by GFK007 View Post
Hi guys,

Curious - what do you all make of the current leasing market? My F97 had a 79k msrp, and I received a 12.5% discount

36/12k with ~5k out of pocket at signing, I am paying ~700. Same car today is ~1,100 per my broker.

Seems absolutely insane (even considering the supply dynamic that exists). Those of you with leases rolling in the next few months, what are you planning on doing?

A family member just got quoted $700 for an X3 30i with $5k due at signing!
While the money factor now is certainly not helping, the big difference is the 12.5% discount which was an almost $10K discount
Appreciate 0
      07-17-2022, 09:56 PM   #10
GFK007
Captain
376
Rep
786
Posts

Drives: 2014 m235i
Join Date: Jan 2011
Location: Westchester, NY

iTrader: (0)

Question is - how do you guys think this ends? Will pricing going forward just be absurd?

Volume has to plummet (across leases and outright sales), given rising rates etc.

M5's now comfortably +2k a month. Was a ~1,300 car not too long ago. Maybe even cheaper?
__________________
MG on CR M235i, mods to come...

(gone but not forgotten) 2011 e90 M Sport - M-Tech Carbon Diffuser, OEM Carbon Trunk Spoiler, 20% tint, black reflectors, black OEM grille, LUX white Angel Eyes.
Appreciate 0
      07-18-2022, 05:51 AM   #11
Cletus
New Member
Cletus's Avatar
United_States
14
Rep
10
Posts

Drives: BMW X3M
Join Date: Jun 2022
Location: Houston

iTrader: (0)

Quote:
Originally Posted by GFK007 View Post
Question is - how do you guys think this ends? Will pricing going forward just be absurd?

Volume has to plummet (across leases and outright sales), given rising rates etc.

M5's now comfortably +2k a month. Was a ~1,300 car not too long ago. Maybe even cheaper?
When/if a recession hits, we can expect deeper discounts on automobiles. This is how manufacturers offset the lack of demand - I don't recall a time that actually downward adjusted the MSRP. Truth be told, BMW is having a hard time keeping up with demand. Granted there are shortages of materials which make the cars, but I also was reading BMW was looking at or did pull the trigger on moving some more manufacturing to Mexico to offset the high demand on the X3. That be the case, the discounts in the future may not be as deep as one would like due to the popularity of the model.
Appreciate 0
      07-18-2022, 09:53 AM   #12
BMV///M3
Major
BMV///M3's Avatar
419
Rep
1,068
Posts

Drives: BMW f80 M3
Join Date: May 2012
Location: CA

iTrader: (1)

Bought out our 2020 M340 last week. I wanted an X3M soooo bad. Even had the wifey test drive it and she was game. Our payment was around $700, got a quote at MSRP w/ $750 rebate, just first month and fees for an X3M non comp with a few options, it came out to $1208. Even though it was a fair deal for today's market, I couldn't justify it. We'll just wait it out. We have about 13k in equity in our M340. We'll get it eventually, but its just not the right time
Appreciate 2
      07-18-2022, 10:10 AM   #13
BMV///M3
Major
BMV///M3's Avatar
419
Rep
1,068
Posts

Drives: BMW f80 M3
Join Date: May 2012
Location: CA

iTrader: (1)

Does anyone know if you don't lease another BMW and buy yours out, are you still charged the $350?

Last edited by BMV///M3; 07-18-2022 at 10:52 AM..
Appreciate 0
      07-18-2022, 09:07 PM   #14
GFK007
Captain
376
Rep
786
Posts

Drives: 2014 m235i
Join Date: Jan 2011
Location: Westchester, NY

iTrader: (0)

I'm not convinced the market is going to rectify for a while.

We are just going to have to see. Todays numbers are insanity.
__________________
MG on CR M235i, mods to come...

(gone but not forgotten) 2011 e90 M Sport - M-Tech Carbon Diffuser, OEM Carbon Trunk Spoiler, 20% tint, black reflectors, black OEM grille, LUX white Angel Eyes.
Appreciate 0
      07-18-2022, 09:50 PM   #15
mistasleepi
Private
21
Rep
62
Posts

Drives: 335i
Join Date: Sep 2012
Location: ca

iTrader: (0)

Not going to get any better until 2024. If anything hopefully end of 2023 you’ll see some major improvements. People on strike in Germany, war is causing parts to be delayed and to make things worse chip shortage is still a thing and lack of truck drivers to deliver the shipments once they arrive. It’s a shit show all around. Even with the markup or no discounts people are still buying like myself lol.
Appreciate 0
      07-19-2022, 12:48 PM   #16
2020X3MCDG
Private First Class
United_States
125
Rep
172
Posts

Drives: 2020 X3MC
Join Date: May 2020
Location: Colorado

iTrader: (0)

Likely going to just buy mine out here in the next 6 months. Cannot get a better deal out there for anything new and nothing really attracting me either. Now that our Model S is here I am hardly even driving my car now.
Appreciate 0
      07-19-2022, 12:48 PM   #17
mbed
X3M40i
mbed's Avatar
29
Rep
55
Posts

Drives: X3M40i
Join Date: Jun 2022
Location: US

iTrader: (0)

Quote:
Originally Posted by mistasleepi View Post
Not going to get any better until 2024. If anything hopefully end of 2023 you’ll see some major improvements. People on strike in Germany, war is causing parts to be delayed and to make things worse chip shortage is still a thing and lack of truck drivers to deliver the shipments once they arrive. It’s a shit show all around. Even with the markup or no discounts people are still buying like myself lol.
Yes it seems people are still buying. It prob is not going to get any better any soon - that's prob why BMW adjusted the prices for all the 2023 models knowing what's to come. The demand for new vehicles is prob the same but the supplies are very low. No need for incentives or discounts & instead the markups are applied over MSRP (in most cases) and also into the rates.
I have a build being completed since May which will be ready this week and will arrive in August. It's not going to be good when I go to finalize the deal to pick it up: a grand monthly for a M40i, plus the deposit I already put down. I don't know if I should put any more down to lower the monthly or keep the monthly as is..?
Appreciate 0
      07-19-2022, 02:56 PM   #18
Savage_M3
Lieutenant
Savage_M3's Avatar
United_States
301
Rep
527
Posts

Drives: 2011 E90 M3 & 2022 X3M Comp
Join Date: Sep 2012
Location: Boston

iTrader: (1)

I don't expect to see big discounts on most BMW's for at least 2 or 3 more years if not more. There's too much pent up demand and supply chains are too fucked at this point.
__________________
2011 M3 Sedan - ZCP, DCT
2022 X3M Competition
Appreciate 0
      07-19-2022, 05:05 PM   #19
2020X3MCDG
Private First Class
United_States
125
Rep
172
Posts

Drives: 2020 X3MC
Join Date: May 2020
Location: Colorado

iTrader: (0)

Quote:
Originally Posted by Savage_M3 View Post
I don't expect to see big discounts on most BMW's for at least 2 or 3 more years if not more. There's too much pent up demand and supply chains are too fucked at this point.
Agreed. I also think manufacturers are enjoying this premium pricing demand out pacing supply business model too. I do not think they are in any hurry to produce more cars.
Appreciate 0
      07-20-2022, 12:57 AM   #20
Kevin_The_Clean1
Brigadier General
Kevin_The_Clean1's Avatar
United_States
3342
Rep
3,966
Posts

Drives: 2020 X3 MC
Join Date: Jan 2016
Location: Campbell, CA

iTrader: (11)

Wish I could buy out my leased 2021 X3 MC mid way through the lease (only on month 17 of 36) & sell it for a decent profit. But I don't have the kind of dough + the CA state taxes.
__________________
1998 E36 M3 - Totaled
2003 E39 M5 - Gone but not forgotten
2011 E90 335i M-Sport - Daily Driver
2017 F87 M2 - Sold & missed
2020 F97 X3 M Competition - Finally arrived ///
Appreciate 0
Post Reply

Bookmarks


Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off



All times are GMT -5. The time now is 10:46 AM.




xbimmers
Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions Inc.
1Addicts.com, BIMMERPOST.com, E90Post.com, F30Post.com, M3Post.com, ZPost.com, 5Post.com, 6Post.com, 7Post.com, XBimmers.com logo and trademark are properties of BIMMERPOST